Dry Conditions and Green Water Headed Our Way

Dry Conditions and Green Water Headed Our Way
Corbin Green of Eureka holds a winter steelhead caught Tuesday on the Smith River. Conditions are looking excellent for drifting the Smith next week.
Photo Credit: Photo courtesy of Alan’s Guide Service.

by Kenny Priest
1-2-2025
Website

A couple more days of heavy rain, then it’s finally time to watch the rivers come into fishable shape. The ‘last hurrah’ of rain is forecast for Friday and into the early hours of Saturday morning before we see an extended shift in the weather. We’ll finally see the coastal rivers, other than the Smith, full of green water. Plunking conditions will persist on the Smith this weekend, but will be in prime drifting shape by early next week. The Chetco and the upper section of the South Fork Eel should drop into shape mid next week, with the other rivers not too far behind. Depending on when the next round of storms arrive, the main Eel may be fishable soon. It will take a couple weeks of dry conditions to get there. According to reports, it’s sounding like we’re off to a really good start numbers-wise, now we just need the conditions. And we’re about to get em…

Weather ahead
According to Eureka’s National Weather Service, “the heaviest rain is forecast to occur late Thursday into Friday morning in Del Norte and far northern Humboldt. Moderate to locally heavy rainfall rates will then spread southward into Mendo and Lake counties through the day on Friday as the boundary weakens. The Extreme Forecast Index (EFI) continues to signal potential for an anomalous rain event compared to the reforecast analysis for Del Norte/Northern Humboldt for the 24-hour period 4 p.m. Thursday to 4 p.m. Friday. This does raise concerns for possible urban and small stream flooding late tonight into Friday morning. High pressure is expected to develop over the weekend and much drier weather is expected next week.”

Mattole River opened to fishing Jan. 1
The Mattole River opened to fishing Jan. 1 from 200 yards upstream of its mouth to the confluence with Stanberry Creek. Only artificial lures may be used, and barbless hooks are required. The Mattole is also regulated by low-flow closures, with a minimum flow of 320 cfs at the Petrolia gauging station.

The Rivers:
As of Thursday, all North Coast rivers subjected to low-flow fishing closures were open to fishing. This includes the Mad, main stem Eel, South Fork Eel, Redwood Creek, Van Duzen and Smith rivers. The Department of Fish and Game will make the information available to the public by a telephone recorded message updated, as necessary, no later than 1 p.m. each Monday, Wednesday, and Friday as to whether any stream will be closed to fishing. The rivers can be opened at any time. The low flow closure hotline for North Coast rivers is 707-822-3164. NOTE: The main stem Eel from the South Fork to Cape Horn Dam, the Mad River from the mouth to 200 yards upstream and the Mattole River are all now open to fishing. More information can be found here.

Mad
The Mad has one big rise left before it begins to drop. It’s forecast to surpass monitor stage (15 ft.) Friday afternoon, then it will be on the drop through next week. Without any additional rain, the color could come around late next weekend. Quite a few steelhead have already made their way back to the hatchery.

Main stem Eel
The Eel was under 30,000 cfs at Scotia Thursday, but expected to go back over 53,000 cfs following Friday’s storm. Will need a couple weeks of dry weather once it starts to drop before it comes down to a fishable height.

South Fork Eel
The South Fork is predicted to reach 15,500 cfs at Miranda Friday evening, but will be on the drop starting Saturday and all next week. If the predictions come true, it could fish above the East Fork late next week and below Benbow by the weekend.

Van Duzen
The Duzen is still on the big side, flowing at 3,300 cfs at Bridgeville as of Thursday. Friday’s storm will put it back on the rise, where it’s predicted to peak just under 11,000 cfs Friday evening. Like the rest of the coastal rivers, it will drop through the weekend and all next week. If the predictions hold, we could see some green water late next week or by the weekend.

Smith
The river dropped into shape Tuesday and the plunkers did well. Both bank and boat anglers reported multiple hookups. The river was on the rise Wednesday, but the handful of boats out caught fish. A few were also caught drifting from the forks down. With more rain on the way through Friday, it will be on the rise and forecast to peak Friday afternoon at just under 20 feet at the Jed Smith gauge. It should be plunkable through the weekend, with prime conditions on tap for next week.

Chetco/Elk/Sixes
The Chetco, Elk and Sixes all blew out Christmas week and just as they are dropping to plunkable levels, more rain is expected this week,” said Andy Martin of Wild Rivers Fishing. “Next week, however, should have prime conditions on the Southern Oregon Coast. Steelhead were being caught in the Chetco before the storms, and plenty of fish should be around next week.”

A couple more days of heavy rain, then it’s finally time to watch the rivers come into fishable shape. The ‘last hurrah’ of rain is forecast for Friday and into the early hours of Saturday morning before we see an extended shift in the weather. We’ll finally see the coastal rivers, other than the Smith, full of green water. Plunking conditions will persist on the Smith this weekend, but will be in prime drifting shape by early next week. The Chetco and the upper section of the South Fork Eel should drop into shape mid next week, with the other rivers not too far behind. Depending on when the next round of storms arrive, the main Eel may be fishable soon. It will take a couple weeks of dry conditions to get there. According to reports, it’s sounding like we’re off to a really good start numbers-wise, now we just need the conditions. And we’re about to get em…

Weather ahead
According to Eureka’s National Weather Service, “the heaviest rain is forecast to occur late Thursday into Friday morning in Del Norte and far northern Humboldt. Moderate to locally heavy rainfall rates will then spread southward into Mendo and Lake counties through the day on Friday as the boundary weakens. The Extreme Forecast Index (EFI) continues to signal potential for an anomalous rain event compared to the reforecast analysis for Del Norte/Northern Humboldt for the 24-hour period 4 p.m. Thursday to 4 p.m. Friday. This does raise concerns for possible urban and small stream flooding late tonight into Friday morning. High pressure is expected to develop over the weekend and much drier weather is expected next week.”

Mattole River opened to fishing Jan. 1
The Mattole River opened to fishing Jan. 1 from 200 yards upstream of its mouth to the confluence with Stanberry Creek. Only artificial lures may be used, and barbless hooks are required. The Mattole is also regulated by low-flow closures, with a minimum flow of 320 cfs at the Petrolia gauging station.

The Rivers:
As of Thursday, all North Coast rivers subjected to low-flow fishing closures were open to fishing. This includes the Mad, main stem Eel, South Fork Eel, Redwood Creek, Van Duzen and Smith rivers. The Department of Fish and Game will make the information available to the public by a telephone recorded message updated, as necessary, no later than 1 p.m. each Monday, Wednesday, and Friday as to whether any stream will be closed to fishing. The rivers can be opened at any time. The low flow closure hotline for North Coast rivers is 707-822-3164. NOTE: The main stem Eel from the South Fork to Cape Horn Dam, the Mad River from the mouth to 200 yards upstream and the Mattole River are all now open to fishing. More information can be found here.

Mad
The Mad has one big rise left before it begins to drop. It’s forecast to surpass monitor stage (15 ft.) Friday afternoon, then it will be on the drop through next week. Without any additional rain, the color could come around late next weekend. Quite a few steelhead have already made their way back to the hatchery.

Main stem Eel
The Eel was under 30,000 cfs at Scotia Thursday, but expected to go back over 53,000 cfs following Friday’s storm. Will need a couple weeks of dry weather once it starts to drop before it comes down to a fishable height.

South Fork Eel
The South Fork is predicted to reach 15,500 cfs at Miranda Friday evening, but will be on the drop starting Saturday and all next week. If the predictions come true, it could fish above the East Fork late next week and below Benbow by the weekend.

Van Duzen
The Duzen is still on the big side, flowing at 3,300 cfs at Bridgeville as of Thursday. Friday’s storm will put it back on the rise, where it’s predicted to peak just under 11,000 cfs Friday evening. Like the rest of the coastal rivers, it will drop through the weekend and all next week. If the predictions hold, we could see some green water late next week or by the weekend.

Smith
The river dropped into shape Tuesday and the plunkers did well. Both bank and boat anglers reported multiple hookups. The river was on the rise Wednesday, but the handful of boats out caught fish. A few were also caught drifting from the forks down. With more rain on the way through Friday, it will be on the rise and forecast to peak Friday afternoon at just under 20 feet at the Jed Smith gauge. It should be plunkable through the weekend, with prime conditions on tap for next week.

Chetco/Elk/Sixes
The Chetco, Elk and Sixes all blew out Christmas week and just as they are dropping to plunkable levels, more rain is expected this week,” said Andy Martin of Wild Rivers Fishing. “Next week, however, should have prime conditions on the Southern Oregon Coast. Steelhead were being caught in the Chetco before the storms, and plenty of fish should be around next week.”

Brookings ocean update
According to Martin, the ocean has been rough most of December out of Brookings, but a brief break in the weather New Year’s Eve led to limits of rockfish and quite a few lingcod for the handful of boats that ventured out. “Sunday may be fishable after rough weather most of this week.”
 

Kenny Priest operates Fishing the North Coast, a fishing guide service out of Humboldt specializing in salmon and steelhead. Find it on Facebook, Instagram, YouTube and www.fishingthenorthcoast.com. For up-to-date fishing reports and North Coast river information, email kenny@fishingthenorthcoast.com.


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